2020 Proposed Congressional Apportionment Plan

[Online Professor]

According to the 2010 Census the population of the United States was 308,745,538. There are 435 Congressional Districts with an average 709,757 constituents..

The smallest districts are located in Rhode Island and represent 526,000 people.  If all of the Congressional Districts in all of the states equally apportioned we would have a minimum of 587 Congressional Districts instead of just 435.

The following chart is based on the 2010 Census and a population of 308 million. The population in 2020 is projected to be 400 million.

Number of  Representatives     California          70 Texas                 48 New York           37 Florida                36 Illinois                24 Pennsylvania      24 Ohio                   22 Michigan            19 Georgia              18 North Carolina   18 New Jersey        17 Virginia              15 Washington        13 Massachusetts      13 Indiana                 12 Arizona                12 Tennessee             12 Missouri               11 Maryland              11 Wisconsin             11 Minnesota             10 Colorado               9 Alabama               9 South Carolina      9 Louisiana              9 Kentucky              8 Oregon                 7 Oklahoma             7 Connecticut           7 Iowa                      6 Mississippi            6 Arkansas               6 Kansas                  5 Utah                      5 Nevada                 5 New Mexico         4 West Virginia        4 Nebraska               4 Idaho                     3 Hawaii                   3 Maine                    3 New Hampshire     3 Rhode Island          2 Montana                 2 Delaware                2 South Dakota          2 Alaska                     2 North Dakota          2 Vermont                  2 Wyoming               1

By Population     California 37,253,956 Texas 25,145,561 New York                 19,378,102 Florida 18,801,310 Illinois 12,830,632 Pennsylvania 12,702,379 Ohio 11,536,504 Michigan 9,883,640 Georgia 9,687,653 North Carolina 9,535,483 New Jersey 8,791,894 Virginia 8,001,024 Washington 6,724,540 Massachusetts 6,547,629 Indiana 6,483,802 Arizona 6,392,017 Tennessee 6,346,105 Missouri 5,988,927 Maryland 5,773,552 Wisconsin 5,686,986 Minnesota 5,303,925 Colorado 5,029,196 Alabama 4,779,736 South Carolina 4,625,364 Louisiana 4,533,372 Kentucky 4,339,367 Oregon 3,831,074 Oklahoma 3,751,351 Connecticut 3,574,097 Iowa 3,046,355 Mississippi 2,967,297 Arkansas 2,915,918 Kansas 2,853,118 Utah 2,763,885 Nevada 2,700,551 New Mexico 2,059,179 West Virginia 1,852,994 Nebraska 1,826,341 Idaho 1,567,582 Hawaii 1,360,301 Maine 1,328,361 New Hampshire 1,316,470 Rhode Island 1,052,567 Montana 989,415 Delaware 897,934 South Dakota 814,180 Alaska 710,231 North Dakota 672,591 Vermont 625,741 Wyoming 563,626

 

According to analysis from Election Data Services (EDS), using estimates from the Census Bureau, “12 states will be impacted by changes in their congressional delegation if these new numbers were used for apportionment today.”

While there are multiple possible scenarios, EDS expects Florida and Texas to be the biggest winners and Illinois to possibly be the biggest loser. According to their report:

States Gaining Districts (6 or 7)

• Arizona +1 (from 9 to 10)
• Colorado +1 (from 7 to 8)
• Florida +2 (from 27 to 29)
• Montana even or +1 (from At-large to 2)
• North Carolina +1 (from 13 to 14)
• Oregon +1 (from 5 to 6)
• Texas +3 (from 36 to 39)

States Losing Districts (9)

• Alabama -1 (from 7 to 6)
• Illinois -1 or -2 (from 18 to 17 or 16)
• Michigan -1 (from 14 to 13)
• Minnesota -1 or even (from 8 to 7 or none)
• New York -1 (from 27 to 26)
• Ohio -1 (from 16 to 15)
• Pennsylvania -1 (from 18 to 17)
• Rhode Island -1 (from 2 to 1)
• West Virginia -1 (from 3 to 2)

California is nearing the cusp of losing a seat as well.